Strap in, ride the wave.

If you jumped out to a quick start last week, by all means, flex that extra juice, and let it ride. Stay aggressive. If you’re playing catch-up, and already counting your nickels, proceed with caution. Tread lightly. Especially given the interesting tidbit that for the first time in the regular season since the 1970 AFL/NFL merger, there are no division games scheduled  for this coming weekend. That alone, should frighten you. Plus, until we find out for sure if the Colts will truly be in the “Andrew Luck Sweepstakes” and the Steelers defense is decaying a little more than most will admit, there are bound to be a few potholes along the way.

Mix in the condensed offseason due to the lockout, and things could be a bit unpredictable.

Luckily, you have me.

Last week: 4-2 ATS

Season to date: 4-2 ATS

It's there--you just have to find it.

Week 2: (home team in CAPS)

NEW YORK JETS (-9) over Jacksonville Jaguars: Jags have actually covered 6 straight against Gang Green. It’s time, however, to reverse that trend. Luke McCown, meet your worst nightmare: a stout run-defense, and Mr. Revis. Jets roll.

Dallas Cowboys (-3) over SAN FRANCISCO 49’ers: Some optimism in the Bay Area following last week’s 33-17 win over Seattle. However, upon further review, two things jump out: Seattle is simply morbid, and the Niners received 14 points from Ted Ginn Jr. As long as Dallas is buttoned-up on special teams, no way Alex Smith survives a small army of 3rd and 7’s…which is exactly what he’ll see. The number hasn’t moved since Sunday night, which is worrying some. To be safe, buy 1/2 point. No way Dallas loses this one. Right?

Green Bay Packers / CAROLINA PANTHERS (Over 46.5): Cam Newton was phenomenal last week in Arizona, but the task gets much tougher on Sunday. The Packers are well rested and Dom Capers should dial up enough blitzes and creative fronts to confuse the rookie QB. Bank on a sloppy TO’er  in his own territory by the # 1 pick leading to an easy TD for GB–and watch Aaron Rodgers do the rest to cover the number.

WASHINGTON REDSKINS  (-3.5) over Arizona Cardinals: For the first in nearly a decade, the Redskins appear somewhat…normal. The dysfunction is melting away, and when stripped down to the core, they’re actually a decent team. A decent team who should be able to jump on a Cardinals team destined for 7, 8 wins. How does Arizona allow a rookie QB playing in his first game, to throw for 420 + yards? In your house? Shouldn’t happen, which speaks to deeper issues. Lay the points, and hope like hell the Skins don’t revert to…being the Skins.

Oakland Raiders (+3) over BUFFALO BILLS: During the summer, I pointed to the Raiders as a potential player in the AFC IF and ONLY IF they jumped out to a 2-0 start. After Monday’s win in Denver, they’re  halfway home. Sure, a cross country flight to a tough venue against an improved team is a dangerous mix, but I’ll take the points and watch RUN DMC go bonkers on the ground and the Silver and Black D bring the heat against Ryan Fitzpatrick. Up next for Oakland? The Jets, Pats and Texans. They better win–and they will. Think MONEY-LINE here as well for additional value.

NEW YORK GIANTS (-6) over St. Louis Rams: Last week, Tim Hasselbeck, an analyst I have great respect for, dropped a small bomb on my show: the Rams will win 11 games. Well, with 15 to go, they currently have zero, and the percentages are dropping daily. Mix in Steven Jackson’s nagging quad injury and delete Sam Bradford’s safety valve Danny Amendola (OUT, dislocated elbow) and the Rams will be hard pressed to score multiple TD’s. I don’t like the Giants this year, but they should be fired up for the home crowd, coming off a sloppy divisional loss to Washington. Giants, big.


Pick like a champ, live like a pimp

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